Tokyo Outlook | Kishida Steps Down: Priorities for Japan's Next Leader

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida suddenly announced that he would not run in the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership election scheduled for September. The news has thrown Japan into a politically charged season. 

Kishida had been grappling with low approval ratings due to issues related to a party political funding controversy. At a press conference on August 14, he stated, "This upcoming LDP presidential election should be an opportunity for us to demonstrate that the LDP is changing [...] In this respect, the most convincing first step is for me to step aside."

Whether the LDP can genuinely reform and regain public trust remains to be seen. However, what is crucial is whether Japan's next leader will be someone capable of guiding the nation with a clear vision for its best interests.

Global Threats Surrounding Japan

Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin justifies his invasion of Ukraine and is unafraid to use nuclear threats. Chinese President Xi Jinping continues to expand his military and is actively seeking opportunities to seize the Senkaku Islands in Ishigaki City, Okinawa Prefecture. 

Additionally, North Korean Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un is advancing nuclear and ballistic missile development in defiance of United Nations resolutions. Japan is surrounded by these three countries.

Moreover, all three of these nations possess nuclear weapons. They are willing to seize other countries' territories, resources, and technologies if they can. 

Although separated by the sea, Japan is the only advanced nation directly facing these threats. The world, including these three countries as well as Western and other Asian nations, is closely watching to see who Japan's new leader will be and what priorities they will set.

Tough Challenges Ahead

JAPAN Forward provides insights into the perspectives of Japan's leaders, the political system, and key issues in Japanese politics. We hope this helps deepen understanding of the country among our readers.

In the following editorial published on August 18, JAPAN Forward noted that the Kishida government had "decided to drastically strengthen Japan's defense capabilities, including acquiring counterattack capabilities and increasing defense spending. Kishida further advanced the security policy initiated by former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe."

• EDITORIAL | As PM Kishida Steps Back, Successor Candidates Have Big Shoes to Fill

However, this article does not address urgent issues like managing the imminent crisis over the Senkaku Islands or responding to nuclear threats. These issues can no longer be postponed.

As a representative of Hiroshima, a city that experienced atomic bombing, Kishida has consistently avoided discussions in the National Diet about Japan's nuclear armament and deterrence capabilities. 

Given Japan's precarious security situation, the new candidates must clearly articulate how they plan to enhance Japan's defense posture.

They will also need to address domestic challenges, such as natural disasters and an aging population.

Upcoming Election and Global Context

Currently, 11 individuals are considering running in the LDP presidential election. Campaigning will begin on September 12, with voting and ballot counting scheduled for the 27th. A heated contest is anticipated.

Regardless of who is elected as the new party leader, it is highly likely that a general election will be held before the end of 2024 to seek public approval. 

Additionally, the United States presidential election, which the world is closely watching, will also take place in November. Therefore, new leaders are expected to emerge in both Japan and the US around the same time.

Over the past two weeks, JAPAN Forward's most-read articles included reports on the earthquake that struck during the Obon holidays and coverage of the Paris Olympics. Another popular read was an editorial on the arrest of an anti-whaling group's Canadian founder who interfered with Japan's whale research.

How will Japan navigate crises in a rapidly changing world and contribute to a peaceful and stable global environment? By analyzing the perspectives of the LDP leadership candidates, JAPAN Forward aims to offer insights into Japan's future direction and its role on the world stage.

Watch for the next issue on September 30.

JAPAN Forward is a small media outlet driven by an unparalleled passion to amplify Japan's voice worldwide. To join us in shaping our vision together or for inquiries, please call 0570-033-433 (Sankei iD) or email us at info@japan-forward.com.

RELATED:

• Understanding the LDP Leadership Election
• Japan's PM Kishida to Step Down in September
• 'Renewal' Likely to be Keyword in LDP Presidential Election
• Post-Kishida Showdown in the LDP: Who Will Be Kingmaker?

Author: Yasuo Naito, Editor in Chief, JAPAN Forward