JAPAN Forward 
(©JAPAN Forward by Shaun Fernando)
The Japan Weather Corporation has released its third sakura forecast for 2025, with slight adjustments to the predicted dates.
The estimates are based on observations of Somei Yoshino trees, the most common variety, known for their soft pink petals.
Latest estimates indicate that the sakura season will begin around the average time or slightly later in most regions. However, in northern Japan, including Sapporo, higher temperatures after dormancy may cause the flowers to open earlier than usual. As a result, full bloom could also occur sooner than average.
Predicted Bloom and Full Bloom Dates
- Kochi: March 25, April 1
- Fukuoka: March 25, April 3
- Nagoya: March 26, April 4
- Tokyo: March 24, April 1
- Kyoto: March 29, April 6
- Kagoshima: March 25, April 5
- Sendai: April 6, April 11
- Sapporo: April 28, May 2
How Cherry Blossoms Bloom
Dormancy
Buds enter dormancy to survive the cold winter days by conserving energy. Dormancy continues until the buds are exposed to sufficiently low temperatures (-5°C to 15°C) for a specific duration. Once this condition is met, the buds begin preparing for spring.
Growth
After dormancy is broken, buds transition into the growth stage. Warmer temperatures in early spring accelerate this process. In this stage, the buds swell, their tips turn yellow-green, and petals become visible just before flowering.
What the Dates Mean
The Japan Meteorological Corporation defines the "blooming date" as the first day when five or six flowers open on sample trees. The "full bloom date" refers to the day when approximately 80% of the buds on the trees have opened.
Watch for the next forecast update in March.
This article is based on the Japan Weather Corporation's forecast.
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Author: JAPAN Forward
