Ishiba's perception of 'constructive discussions' with Xi Jinping and extended delays in meeting President-elect Trump reflect a short-sighted security policy.
Shigeru Ishiba November 29

Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba delivers a policy speech at the Lower House plenary session on November 29.

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Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's recent policy speech characterized his administration's basic policy as one in line with public sentiment. Speaking at an extraordinary Diet session on November 29, he said: "Having heard the voice of the people, we will listen carefully to the opinions of other parties and work sincerely and humbly to reach a broad consensus."

The Prime Minister also announced that his administration would raise the tax-free income ceiling. This was in line with calls from the Democratic Party for the People to eliminate the "1.03 million JPY ($6,850 USD) annual income barrier." Having fallen into a minority, the ruling coalition must cooperate with the scheme. 

Nevertheless, Ishiba's compromises portend difficulties on the road ahead. 

Ishiba's China Illusion

Along with domestic politics, foreign policy and security are also important. The Prime Minister's perception of China therefore was startling. 

It was difficult to understand why Ishiba again engaged in self-praise. He incredulously declared that he had engaged in "constructive discussions" with Chinese President Xi Jinping during their recent brief meeting. The Prime Minister said that he had "frankly raised" concerns about the Chinese military's increased aggression and the murder of a Japanese schoolchild in Shenzhen

But he received virtually no response to his efforts. 

Japanese PM Ishiba meets President Xi of China on the sidelines of APEC in Peru. (©Cabinet Office of the Prime Minister)

China's Self-Serving Visa Diversion

China recently announced that it would resume short-term visa exemptions for Japanese nationals from November 30. The Prime Minister boasted, "I pointed this out." 

But has he forgotten that China is a country that unjustly detains Japanese nationals within its borders? And recently it has seen a series of indiscriminate murderous attacks. The visa concession is hardly something to become jubilant about. 

"We will assert what we should assert, and cooperate in areas where we can cooperate. That is a realistic diplomacy based on national interests," asserted PM Ishiba.

However, anybody can make statements like that. There were no specifics. Moreover, why doesn't he believe it is in the national interest to affect beneficial change in China's behavior?

Engaging with President-elect Trump

Given concerns about a Taiwan contingency, Japan needs to enhance deterrence against China and strengthen defense capabilities. Reaffirming the Japan-US alliance is also absolutely imperative. To that end, it is important that Prime Minister Ishiba meet with US President-elect Donald Trump

However, Ishiba has declined to meet with Trump before his inauguration. He says that doing so would create difficulties. Nevertheless, Trump has met with other world leaders, including Argentine President Javier Milei

Ishiba should continue to seek an early meeting with the President-elect. 

Families of abduction victims and participants cheer at a national rally calling for the immediate return of all abduction victims. In Tokyo on November 23. (©Sankei by Kanata Iwasaki)

Crucial Issues Not on Ishiba's Agenda?

Regarding the issue of abductions by North Korea, the Prime Minister did not call for a meeting with Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un. Former prime ministers Shinzo Abe, Yoshihide Suga, and Fumio Kishida all expressed their determination to face off against Kim in their parliamentary speeches. Prime Minister Ishiba's failure to seek talks may have sent the wrong message to North Korea.

As for constitutional reform, former Prime Minister Kishida specifically mentioned "finalizing the draft articles" in his Diet speech. 

However, Prime Minister Ishiba has not even touched on the issue of codification in his two policy speeches to date. (One was in October and the other on November 29.) The Prime Minister must address the nation directly with a serious appeal about the need to amend the Constitution.

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Author: Editorial Board, The Sankei Shimbun

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